Monday, October 12, 2015

Repost: Benjamin Graham: The Intelligent Investor



Warren Buffett read the first edition of The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin graham in 1950 when he was 19. At the time he thought that it was by far the best book ever written. Writing in the introduction to this recent edition, he states that still thinks that it is.
This is reinforced by his comment in the 2003 annual report of Berkshire Hathaway where he declared that it is his favorite book. Since it was first published in 1949, Graham's investment guide has sold over a million copies. In its new form—with commentary on each chapter and extensive footnotes prepared by senior Money editor, Jason Zweig—the classic is now updated in light of changes in investment vehicles and market activities since 1972. You can purchase the book at Amazon.com.
The following summary notes were prepared by Jim Butler and kindly made available by him to subscribers of Conscious Investor.

(I)   Core principles [page xiii]

  1. A stock represents an ownership interest in an actual business with an underlying value that does not depend on its share price.
  2. The market is a pendulum that swings between optimism (making stock too expensive) and pessimism (too cheap).
  3. The future value of every investment is a function of its present price. The higher the price you pay, the lower your return.
  4. No matter how careful you are, you need a margin of safety--never overpaying after considering all risks.
  5. The secret of financial success is inside yourself.
  • 1. be a critical thinker
  • 2. invest with patient confidence
II. Introduction [p 1]
  1. The underlying principles of sound investment should not alter from decade to decade, but the application of these principles must be adapted to significant changes in the financial mechanisms and climate. [p 4]
  2. Two types of investor [p 6]:
    • Defensive 
      • chief aim is avoiding losses
      • secondary is low effort & annoyance and infrequent decisions
    • Enterprising (active or aggressive)
      • determining trait is willingness to devote time and care to selection of securities
      • seeking a slightly better return (because expecting significantly better returns is probably unrealistic)




Sunday, October 11, 2015

GENM

(8/10/2015四)今日股市大力上衝,趁股價在雙頂就決定把在4.02買的部位在4.42賣了,獲毛利9.9%.

Friday, October 9, 2015

Unit Trust Total Charges (%)

Calculate total fee payable in unit trust, formula as below

To invest, investors should know how to calculate the fee payable.


     Service charge + GST
=  -----------------------------  x 100
     Net investment Amount

= Total Fee Paid %

Tuesday, October 6, 2015

致富和賺錢

致富和賺錢是兩碼事!有者需不同的投資哲理及不一樣的操作策略和戰略

转贴:谁偷走你的获利

你那麼聰明,為什麼投資都賠錢?
  你可曾想過你現在擁有的投資知識都是一場騙局?


  作者以20年財務管理經驗告訴你,所有理專都不敢告訴你的事實:

  「只要是在這個行業從事夠久時間的人(且誠實面對自己的人)應該都知道:我們其實根本就不知道未來的金融走勢?而且我們並不知道哪一支基金會不會漲?我們也不會知道美元匯率會不會繼續下跌?我們更不會知道金價還會不會漲? 我們所給出的答案都只是我們猜測的答案而已,而且我們所猜測的答案並不會比問我的人(或其他任何人)更為準確。」
   
  「沒有任何人能夠準確地預測金融市場短期的走勢!」
   
  「這是一個很奇怪的行業。因為在這個行業中,大家的眼光都只看短期,都不願意說真話,因為長期投資代表的是,無聊、無趣甚至不專業,而真話代表的是,冗長的銷售流程、繁重的員工教育訓練與伴隨而來可能表現不好的業績(至少短期會如此),所以大家就繼續『假裝』下去。」

  這麼說來,我們都無法從金融市場上獲利了嗎?花一本書的篇幅就只是要告訴你,金融市場根本無法預測嗎?當然不是!書裡,作者從金融市場常見的迷思與騙局中開始,帶你一窺金融市場的真相與本質,告訴讀者在面對投資時,最常犯下的錯誤有哪些?以及為什麼會犯這些錯誤?讓你以全新的眼光重新認識這個投資市場與身為投資人的自己,你將會發現,不同的投資視野,竟然會讓投資變得如此簡單,最後點出作者的投資方法,讓你的獲利不再遙不可及。

  你準備好了嗎?搭上顛覆過去觀點的列車,踏上改變自己的投資旅途,簡單的獲利方法就在最後一頁,過程中的每段風景都是讓你重新開始、相信簡單方法的必經路徑,一旦通過這些關卡後,你才能真正學會簡單方法的真實妙用,進而達到長期獲利的終點站。

http://www.books.com.tw/products/0010672377?utm_source=verfassertaiwan&utm_medium=ap-books&utm_content=recommend&utm_campaign=ap-201509

http://greenhornfinancefootnote.blogspot.my/2015/10/blog-post.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+greenhornfinancefootnote+(Articles)

Saturday, September 26, 2015

Standard Deviation


[25/9/2015,六) 馬股市收盤1615,排除所有的負面訊息,理智想了一下,應用3年標準乖離方式計算,目前是負2σ或1607。

如果沒有負面訊息,我能用負2σ或1607來買優質股嗎? 我能有機會參加幾個年收入十來億的好質量的公司嗎?

當然,資金是用多餘的閒置資金. 祝我好運!




Friday, September 25, 2015

Scable

(18/8/2015二)股價從$1.79(20/8/2015)下跌至$1.25(17/8/2015),下跌了30%. 將會從砂羅越水力發電工程及各大工程受惠,
EPS $0.15, PE 8.8倍
DPS $0.027, DY 0.20%
NAPS 1.02
ROE 14.7%
$1.27買入一批来交易先.現在如不買,行情好的話,$1.3應該買不到.現在應該是我開始做有錢人的時候了,哈哈!
買入原因:獲利能力不俗,但股息不高,可能是盈利再投資。
買賣策略:趁股市低迷交易,目前不打算久持。

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

GENM

(22/9/2015一) 今天股市又心情不好,雲頂大馬從4.6下滑,就放低的買單在4.02,閉市前也買到了.就把這批貨用耒建立部位!上次$3.90買的已在$4.24出完.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

TAGB 2015 Dividend

(18/09/2015,五) 今天收到RHBIB關於TAGB的股息存入通知,共$99 (9900股x$0.01)
當初19/7/2013以$3032($0.30/股)購買
區區小錢$99,但連年派發. 如把投資增大十倍,那就有$999.
2014:$69
2013:$56
2012:$59
股息率也只有3.2%
股價走勢除了波動還是波動,如有主動交易是可有資本盈利的. 可惜是在2014的高點沒有套利,這就是買了不賣的成績,1年少了30%哦.
2014:$0.35/$0.245
2013:$0.455/$0.28
2012:$0.335/$0.23
2011:$0.505/$0.265
EPS $0.0255,PE 11倍
DPS $0.01,DY 3.5%
NAPS $0.50,
ROE 5.1%
公司雖然獲利能力一般,但勝在業續年年成長並可持續發展. 優點有不少地皮在吉隆坡黃金金三角區.
保留這公司股權就如有買了優質地址和多橦高層産業,就等年年收錢了. 要股價升就要有識貨人來收購了,什麼時候呢?

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

情緒化是股市的特徵

今早以為股市會下跌以準備買股,但居然大升35點至1681. 看來今天應該買不成,可能會把一些在低價買入的先套利.
應該是先前市場反應過渡,現正常化.

Friday, September 11, 2015

RCE Cap

(11/09/2015,五)趁今天上揚,投資組合給尚有兩批在$0.34買入的,因公司宣布分配120%特別股息而上揚至$0.41
因股價至0.41後就無力上升反而下降,趁這回升就籍機賣一批$0.405,有19%資本盈利,就不等股息了,策略是先套利並等股息分配後股價調整後再增持. 況且尚有一批可領取$0.12的股息.